Andy Schooler gives us his Premier League Best Bets ahead of Matchday 35 – can champions Liverpool be ignored at 3.0?
Premier League Best Bets: Matchday 35 PL Tips
I understand that the Liverpool players may have been partying a little this week and the related theory that they will have taken their eye off the ball. Yet I’m find it hard to resist backing the best team in England – by a country mile – at 3.0.
Premier League Best Bets: Chelsea v Liverpool
Clearly Chelsea have the greater motivation here. They are still chasing a top-five finish which will come with the prize of Champions League football. But their schedule is also a busy one with this game sandwiched between Conference League semi-finals. Yes, this will take priority, but several players will be on double duty, unlike in the earlier rounds of the European competition.
And it’s not like the Blues have been tearing things up of late. They drew with Ipswich and Brentford last month and while their last two league games have brought wins over Fulham and Everton, neither was convincing and both matches could easily have finished all square. As for Liverpool, the notion that they will simply give up now doesn’t hold great weight. There will be plenty of personal reasons to stay in the groove – most have international commitments next month and can hardly afford to turn up in camp completely cold.
As for player-of-the-year-in-waiting Mo Salah, he’s chasing the Premier League’s goal involvements record – two more are still needed to set a new mark. Even under the circumstances, I just feel this price has to be worth chancing, given what we’ve seen from these two sides for months and months. With Liverpool having lost only twice in the league this season, an alternative is to side with them in the double-chance market at 1.58.
Premier League Best Bets: Brighton v Newcastle
The longer-priced goalscorer shots haven’t worked for a while now in this column, so time for a different approach. To be honest, I think we were very much on the right lines last weekend when backing Jarrod Bowen to score against Brighton. The Seagulls conceded 2+ goals for the sixth successive league game but Bowen could only assist, not score. However, the same theory can be rolled out here.
Brighton are very vulnerable defensively at the moment and Newcastle have been full of goals. They’ve scored 16 in their last five league games and have won seven of their last eight in all competitions. Isak has played in a Newcastle team which has scored 2+ goals on 18 occasions this season. In 15 of those, he’s managed to find the target. So, if you feel a free-scoring visiting side can continue the trend of scoring two against leaky Brighton, Isak looks highly likely to find the net. Back him at close to even money.
Premier League Best Bets: Arsenal v Bournemouth
With Champions League semi-finals either side of this contest, it’s hard to know what sort of side Mikel Arteta is going to put out here. Some who will start in Paris on Wednesday will surely be rested but, at the same time, the Gunners still need to nail down a place in next season’s Champions League. It seems unlikely to be a completely fresh XI. If he plays, Leandro Trossard looks worth an interest in the shots markets.
He’s started as the centre forward in recent games and that says much – the Gunners have few options in that position right now with Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus both injured. Maybe Raheem Sterling could fill in but, to me, Trossard looks one of the more likely starters of the team which lost 1-0 to PSG on Tuesday.
The Belgian has landed the 3+ shots bet in his last seven starts in all competitions yet he’s out at odds-against to do so here. If he does start, he’ll be going up against a defence which sits seventh in the shots conceded list. In short, Trossard looks worth an interest.
Premier League Best Bets 2024/25: Matchday 35
Liverpool to beat Chelsea @ 3.0 with kwiff
Isak anytime scorer v Brighton @ 1.9 with kwiff
Trossard 3+ shots v Bournemouth @ 2.05 with kwiff
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