Andy Schooler brings you his final weekly ATP tennis betting column of the season, with two first-round selections for the Stockholm Open.
ATP Stockholm Open betting tips
Tomas Machac v Borna Gojo (Monday)
Conditions are unlikely to be as slick in Stockholm as they were in Paris last week but they will be experimenting with the balls, changing them after every seven games, as opposed to the usual nine.
As balls get older, they tend to slow down and it is often felt the best chance to break serve comes when they are eight or nine games old.
This change should make it harder for the returners and a big server like Gojo will likely gain an advantage.
Things certainly worked out well for him on Sunday when he slammed down 18 aces in a straight-sets victory over the always-dangerous Nikoloz Basilashvili in qualifying.
Gojo, who also beat Arthur Fery in Lyon recently, could be vulnerable on his second delivery, although the same could be said of firm favourite Machac, who has really struggled for any consistency since the early weeks of the season – the last time he won back-to-back matches at tour level was at April’s Barcelona Open.
The Czech, who rarely seems to be fully fit, did serve well in Paris last week, where he came through qualifying, and so this is a match I can see being serve-dominated and perhaps settled by a handful of points.
I’m therefore surprised to see Gojo out at 3.05 for the win – the price gap looks a little large.
He’s 1.76 to win a set and 1.83 to cover a +3.5-game handicap but I’ll just take a punt on the match victory.
| Andy’s Stockholm tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Borna Gojo to beat Tomas Machac | 3.05 with kwiff |
Holger Rune v Zizou Bergs (Tuesday)
This match sees Rune return to the scene of his awful Achilles injury of last season.
He’s only eight matches into his comeback and has won four of those contests.
There have been some good signs with Hubert Hurkacz and Quentin Halys both beaten in final-set tie-breaks in Basel recently.
However, I’m not convinced the Dane deserves to be an odds-on favourite here.
Bergs is the world number 40 and a player who beat Carlos Alcaraz only last month.
He’s since been to the quarter-finals of his home event in Brussels.
I think the layers have been too quick to judge him on a disappointing loss to Ignacio Buse in Paris last week when he served poorly and produced an error-strewn performance.
Perhaps it was too quick for the Belgian or maybe he just had a real off-day, but I’m certainly not going to write him off.
OK, he’s not the most consistent of players but, to me, Bergs looks an underdog worth siding with this week.
| Andy’s Stockholm tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs to beat Holger Rune | 2.05 with kwiff |
Andy Schooler’s best tennis bets
| Tournament | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stockholm | Gojo to beat Machac | 3.05 with kwiff |
| Stockholm | Bergs to beat Rune | 2.05 with kwiff |
Explore the latest tennis betting markets on kwiff.
All odds mentioned in this article were correct at the time of writing but are subject to change. This article is for informational and entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided. Any betting decisions you make are entirely at your own risk, and kwiff accepts no liability for any resulting losses or damages. Please gamble responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
18+ | GambleAware
